As diplomatic options for ending the conflict in Syria have failed, calls to arm and provide air support for Syrian rebels are becoming more widespread — with several senators, a former Bush administration senior official and a former Obama State Department official leading the charge. Although we share their commitment to a humanitarian end to the brutality of the Assad regime, arguments to support the rebels militarily are based on three common assumptions that do not withstand scrutiny: Military support will make the war shorter and enable the rebels to win. Analysis by close observers, such as the widely respected and nonpartisan International Crisis Group, suggests that a...
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